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March 08, 2005

Projecting slots

ODU may not have needed the win in the conference tourney to make it to the Big Dance. No team with 27 wins has ever been left off the dance card, so they might have gotten an at-large bid even with a loss yesterday, which didn't happen.

So now they have a decent RPI, a conference tourney win and 28 wins on the season. Typically, an ODU getting into the tourney would be stuck with a 15 or 16 seed, meaning they have to play one of the top teams in the nation in the first round. The strong year they've had means they have a chance to get ranked above the garbage teams that just got in because they won THEIR tourneys or those who won fewer than 28 wins.

Projected ranking? Well, as much as my heart cries "12," realistically I am officially projecting Old Dominion University in the tournament at a 13 seed.

Any rebuttals?

Posted by Dan at March 8, 2005 07:27 AM

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I think 12 is realistic! With the usual upsets that will occur in Conference tourneys, it's likely that the 27 wins will help them get to a 12. Plus, when you look at ESPN's Bracketology, you see that ODU might be able to take a game or more in this year's dance. The middle of the road Mega-Conference teams are Pittsburgh, Florida, Villanova, Cincinnati, Charlotte, Gonzaga, Pacific? I think a 12 is very possible, but even with a 13, their chances of winning are REAL!

Posted by: Doug at March 8, 2005 10:11 AM

My case for a 10 seed.
1. Lots of upsets in conference tourneys. This will pop a lot of bubble teams. I doubt the selection folks will put a bunch of 12-18 teams above regular season and conference champs.
2. 38 or better RPI.
The Zags & Pacifics of the world will be exposed as the real overated teams in the country. As well as the overated middle of the road "Major Conference Teams" Example: Virginia Tech a bottom feeder in the Big East last season is a middle of the pack ACC team this year. The ACC and some of the other "Major" conferences are having a down year. I think some of these middle of road teams will be one and done at the "Big Dance."

Posted by: Jim at March 8, 2005 05:35 PM

10 Seed.
Regular season and tourney champs.
There will be lots of upsets in conference tourneys.
"Major" conferences are not as strong from top to bottom as in years past.
Don't be fooled by the Zags and Pacifics from out west.
10 Seed.
I'm sure.
By the way, it's Professor Plumb, in the Kitchen, with the rope.

Posted by: Jim at March 8, 2005 05:43 PM

Well, at the very least, they'll be ranked higher than these guys.

Posted by: Nathan at March 8, 2005 10:54 PM

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